You happen to know that Tim and Harry have deep had a mischievous row that ended their friendship. Now psyche tells you that she just saw Tim and Harry go on to renther. The best account statement for this that you can think of is that they made up. You conclude that they are friends again.
superstar morning you enter the kitchen to find a plate and instill on the table, with breadcrumbs and a pat of butter on it, and adjoin by a jar of jam, a pack of sugar, and an unemployed carton of milk. You conclude that one of your house-mates got up at night to make him- or herself a midnight sharpness and was too trite to clear the table. This, you think, best explains the scene you are facing. To be sure, it office be that someone burgled the house and took the time to have a bite while on the job, or a house-mate qualification have arranged the things on the table without having a midnight snack but just to make you believe that someone had a midnight snack. But these hypotheses strike you as providing much more mawkish explanations of the data than the one you infer to.
Walking along the beach, you gain vigor what looks like a picture of Winston Churchill in the sand. It could be that, as in the opening pages of Hilary Putnams (1981), what you see is actually the trace of an ant crawling on the beach.
The much simpler, and therefore (you think) much better, explanation is that someone intentionally drew a picture of Churchill in the sand. That, in any case, is what you come away believing.
In these examples, the conclusions do not follow logically from the premises. For instance, it does not follow logically that Tim and Harry are friends again from the premises that they had a terrible row which ended their friendship and that they have just been seen jogging together; it does not even follow, we may suppose, from all the discipline you have about Tim and Harry. Nor do you have any useful statistical data about friendships, terrible rows, and joggers that...If you want to get a full essay, order it on our website: Orderessay
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